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Model Predictions

Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.

Mon 9/7 (1) Fri 9/11 (2) Sat 9/12 (47) Thu 9/17 (1) Fri 9/18 (2) Sat 9/19 (54) Thu 9/24 (1) Fri 9/25 (4) Sat 9/26 (53) Thu 10/1 (2) Fri 10/2 (3) Sat 10/3 (51) Tue 10/6 (1) Wed 10/7 (2) Thu 10/8 (4) Fri 10/9 (5) Sat 10/10 (46) Tue 10/13 (2) Wed 10/14 (2) Thu 10/15 (3) Fri 10/16 (3) Sat 10/17 (49) Tue 10/20 (3) Wed 10/21 (1) Thu 10/22 (3) Fri 10/23 (5) Sat 10/24 (44)
Kick (CT)Matchup Pred TotalHR Total Total Pick Pred MarginHR Spread Spread Pick
11:00 AM Western Michigan @ Toledo 49.5 45.5 Over 45.5
edge 4.0 · 50.4%
+4.3 -2.5 Toledo -2.5
edge 1.8 · 49.4%
11:00 AM California @ SMU 58.1 55.5 Over 55.5
edge 2.6 · 50.4%
+10.3 -18.5 California +18.5
edge 8.2 · 50.6%
11:00 AM Rutgers @ Northwestern 53.4 59.5 Under 59.5
edge 6.1 · 54.0%
+16.9 -16.5 Northwestern -16.5
edge 0.4 · 49.4%
11:00 AM LSU @ Auburn 47.6 50.5 Under 50.5
edge 2.9 · 53.3%
-5.4 +7.5 Auburn +7.5
edge 2.1 · 49.4%
11:00 AM Rice @ Florida Atlantic 55.9 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 4.4 · 50.4%
+14.4 -7.5 Florida Atlantic -7.5
edge 6.9 · 52.4%
11:00 AM West Virginia @ TCU 51.1 56.5 Under 56.5
edge 5.4 · 54.1%
+8.3 -9.5 West Virginia +9.5
edge 1.2 · 50.6%
11:00 AM Texas Tech @ Cincinnati 53.0 56.5 Under 56.5
edge 3.5 · 54.1%
-14.5 +10.5 Texas Tech -10.5
edge 4.0 · 50.6%
11:00 AM Indiana @ Michigan 45.5 41.5 Over 41.5
edge 4.0 · 50.4%
-7.2 +7.5 Michigan +7.5
edge 0.3 · 49.4%
11:00 AM Pittsburgh @ Miami 47.3 49.5 Under 49.5
edge 2.2 · 54.1%
+19.9 -19.5 Miami -19.5
edge 0.4 · 49.4%
12:00 PM Akron @ Kent State 49.1 45.5 Over 45.5
edge 3.6 · 50.4%
+2.5 -2.5 Akron +2.5
edge 0.0 · 50.6%
12:00 PM Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan 47.7 39.5 Over 39.5
edge 8.2 · 50.4%
+0.1 +2.5 Central Michigan +2.5
edge 2.6 · 49.4%
12:00 PM Baylor @ Kansas 55.5 52.5 Over 52.5
edge 3.0 · 49.9%
-0.3 +2.5 Kansas +2.5
edge 2.1 · 49.4%
2:00 PM Oregon @ Illinois 58.1 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 7.6 · 50.4%
-9.8 +8.5 Oregon -8.5
edge 1.3 · 50.6%
2:30 PM Tennessee @ South Carolina 53.2 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 2.7 · 50.4%
+0.5 -2.5 Tennessee +2.5
edge 2.0 · 50.6%
2:30 PM Boston College @ Georgia Tech 51.7 49.5 Over 49.5
edge 2.2 · 50.4%
+8.9 -4.5 Georgia Tech -4.5
edge 4.4 · 52.4%
2:30 PM Hawai'i @ Northern Illinois 45.9 — — -6.1 — —
2:30 PM Sacramento State @ Ball State 50.4 50.5 Under 50.5
edge 0.1 · 49.7%
+2.7 -14.5 Sacramento State +14.5
edge 11.8 · 50.6%
2:30 PM Bowling Green @ Buffalo 48.7 44.5 Over 44.5
edge 4.2 · 50.4%
+10.1 -3.5 Buffalo -3.5
edge 6.6 · 52.4%
2:30 PM Iowa @ Minnesota 43.5 40.5 Over 40.5
edge 3.0 · 50.4%
-11.7 +6.5 Iowa -6.5
edge 5.2 · 50.6%
2:30 PM Michigan State @ UCLA 49.6 43.5 Over 43.5
edge 6.1 · 50.4%
+12.3 -14.5 Michigan State +14.5
edge 2.2 · 50.6%
2:30 PM Oklahoma @ Mississippi State 51.8 45.5 Over 45.5
edge 6.3 · 50.4%
+2.0 +3.5 Mississippi State +3.5
edge 5.5 · 52.4%
2:30 PM North Texas @ Navy 57.0 64.5 Under 64.5
edge 7.5
+1.7 +2.5 Navy +2.5
edge 4.2
2:30 PM Texas A&M @ Alabama 54.7 49.5 Over 49.5
edge 5.2 · 50.4%
+12.6 -13.5 Texas A&M +13.5
edge 0.9 · 50.6%
2:30 PM BYU @ UCF 47.7 43.5 Over 43.5
edge 4.2 · 50.4%
-10.9 +6.5 BYU -6.5
edge 4.4 · 50.6%
2:45 PM Kansas State @ Arizona State 52.0 56.5 Under 56.5
edge 4.5 · 54.1%
-6.5 +2.5 Kansas State -2.5
edge 4.0 · 50.6%
3:00 PM Eastern Michigan @ Ohio 54.8 47.5 Over 47.5
edge 7.3 · 50.4%
+9.5 -11.5 Eastern Michigan +11.5
edge 2.0 · 50.6%
3:00 PM UL Monroe @ Troy 58.6 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 8.1 · 56.5%
+21.4 -13.5 Troy -13.5
edge 7.9 · 52.4%
4:00 PM Louisiana @ Southern Miss 55.7 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 4.2 · 50.4%
-10.9 +10.5 Louisiana -10.5
edge 0.4 · 50.6%
4:00 PM San José State @ Nevada 51.5 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 5.0 · 50.4%
+11.7 -5.5 Nevada -5.5
edge 6.2 · 52.4%
4:00 PM Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech 46.7 45.5 Over 45.5
edge 1.2 · 50.4%
+10.4 -12.5 Old Dominion +12.5
edge 2.1 · 50.6%
5:00 PM Boise State @ Washington State 51.2 52.5 Under 52.5
edge 1.3 · 49.7%
-11.0 +12.5 Washington State +12.5
edge 1.5 · 49.4%
5:30 PM San Diego State @ Colorado State 56.3 63.5 Under 63.5
edge 7.2 · 54.1%
+6.0 +1.5 Colorado State +1.5
edge 7.5 · 52.4%
6:00 PM Georgia State @ Arkansas State 60.5 58.5 Over 58.5
edge 2.0 · 50.4%
-4.1 +2.5 Georgia State -2.5
edge 1.6 · 50.6%
6:00 PM Virginia Tech @ Clemson 52.2 49.5 Over 49.5
edge 2.7 · 50.4%
-2.5 -2.5 Virginia Tech +2.5
edge 5.0 · 50.6%
6:00 PM Colorado @ Oklahoma State 49.7 56.5 Under 56.5
edge 6.8 · 54.1%
+7.0 -13.5 Colorado +13.5
edge 6.5 · 50.6%
6:30 PM Syracuse @ North Carolina 47.8 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 1.3 · 50.4%
+9.9 -8.5 North Carolina -8.5
edge 1.4 · 49.4%
6:30 PM Utah State @ Texas State 54.8 61.5 Under 61.5
edge 6.7 · 53.6%
+7.6 -12.5 Utah State +12.5
edge 4.9 · 50.6%
6:30 PM Iowa State @ Arizona 51.6 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 1.1 · 47.5%
+14.0 -8.5 Arizona -8.5
edge 5.5 · 52.4%
6:30 PM Ole Miss @ Texas 54.1 54.5 Under 54.5
edge 0.5 · 49.7%
+7.9 -3.5 Texas -3.5
edge 4.4 · 52.4%
6:30 PM USC @ Wisconsin 54.3 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 3.8 · 50.4%
-4.6 +2.5 USC -2.5
edge 2.1 · 50.6%
6:30 PM Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 51.9 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 0.4 · 50.4%
+5.5 -10.5 Vanderbilt +10.5
edge 5.0 · 50.6%
7:00 PM UTSA @ Tulane 53.3 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 1.8 · 50.4%
-0.5 +2.5 Tulane +2.5
edge 2.0 · 49.4%
9:00 PM North Dakota State @ New Mexico 48.9 41.5 Over 41.5
edge 7.4 · 50.4%
+13.7 -4.5 New Mexico -4.5
edge 9.2 · 52.4%
9:15 PM Houston @ Utah 58.5 56.5 Over 56.5
edge 2.0 · 50.4%
+16.3 -6.5 Utah -6.5
edge 9.8 · 52.4%

Model: model_2026-10-11_v1 generated 2026-10-19 12:00:21 UTC.