Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00 PM | Army @ Temple | 21–17 (38 U) | 53.8 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 51.4% |
+1.8 | +2.5 |
Temple +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 52.3% |
| 6:00 PM | Navy @ UAB | 20–24 (44 U) | 54.8 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.3 · 51.4% |
+1.6 | +7.5 |
UAB +7.5 ✓ WON edge 9.1 · 52.3% |
| 7:00 PM | Northwestern @ Indiana | 23–29 (52 O) | 51.9 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 2.4 · 51.4% |
+15.9 | -22.5 |
Northwestern +22.5 ✓ WON edge 6.6 · 50.7% |
| 9:30 PM | Clemson @ California | 24–10 (34 U) | 52.4 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.9 · 51.4% |
-6.2 | -1.5 |
Clemson +1.5 ✓ WON edge 7.7 · 50.7% |
Model: model_2026-09-20_v1 generated 2026-09-21 12:00:30 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).