Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 AM | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 21–17 (38 U) | 47.2 | 46.5 |
Over 46.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.6 · 49.6% |
+10.2 | -3.5 |
Pittsburgh -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.7 · 52.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Sacramento State @ Bowling Green | 10–38 (48 O) | 46.7 | 42.5 |
Over 42.5 ✓ WON edge 4.2 · 50.5% |
-3.3 | -6.5 |
Sacramento State +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 9.8 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Wake Forest @ NC State | 38–14 (52 U) | 53.3 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 7.2 · 54.2% |
-3.2 | +3.5 |
NC State +3.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.3 · 49.1% |
| 11:00 AM | Texas A&M @ Missouri | 6–27 (33 U) | 46.8 | 48.5 |
Under 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 54.2% |
-4.6 | -3.5 |
Texas A&M +3.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.1 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Indiana @ Nebraska | 20–17 (37 U) | 54.7 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.2 · 50.5% |
-1.1 | +7.5 |
Nebraska +7.5 ✓ WON edge 6.4 · 52.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Arizona @ West Virginia | 52–31 (83 O) | 55.2 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.3 · 54.2% |
-7.8 | +2.5 |
Arizona -2.5 ✓ WON edge 5.3 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Tulane @ Army | 17–20 (37 U) | 49.7 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.2 · 50.5% |
+3.7 | -3.5 |
Army -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 49.1% |
| 11:00 AM | UCF @ Oklahoma State | 28–42 (70 O) | 46.3 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.2 · 54.2% |
-6.5 | -9.5 |
UCF +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 16.1 · 50.9% |
| 11:30 AM | Ball State @ Northwestern | 14–45 (59 O) | 50.7 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 52.8% |
+35.9 | -34.5 |
Northwestern -34.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 49.1% |
| 11:45 AM | South Carolina @ Florida | 38–19 (57 U) | 61.8 | 61.5 |
Over 61.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.3 · 49.3% |
+10.1 | -13.5 |
South Carolina +13.5 ✓ WON edge 3.4 · 50.9% |
| 12:00 PM | Old Dominion @ App State | 10–3 (13) | 51.0 | — | — | +11.5 | — | — |
| 12:00 PM | Rice @ East Carolina | 12–28 (40 U) | 51.6 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 50.1% |
+13.4 | -10.5 |
East Carolina -10.5 ✓ WON edge 2.9 · 50.7% |
| 1:00 PM | Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts | 20–19 (39) | 53.1 | — | — | +2.7 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | Kent State @ Western Michigan | 7–38 (45 O) | 47.3 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✓ WON edge 3.8 · 50.5% |
+17.9 | -13.5 |
Western Michigan -13.5 ✓ WON edge 4.4 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Stanford @ Notre Dame | 7–58 (65 O) | 57.2 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.5% |
+33.6 | -37.5 |
Stanford +37.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.9 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Eastern Michigan @ Akron | 25–23 (48 U) | 50.1 | 50.5 |
Under 50.5 ✓ WON edge 0.4 · 51.6% |
-2.7 | +6.5 |
Akron +6.5 ✓ WON edge 3.8 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Charlotte @ North Texas | 10–50 (60 U) | 56.7 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 3.8 · 54.2% |
+15.9 | -27.5 |
Charlotte +27.5 ✗ LOST edge 11.6 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Central Michigan @ Ohio | 14–31 (45 U) | 53.6 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.1 · 50.5% |
+7.6 | -4.5 |
Ohio -4.5 ✓ WON edge 3.1 · 51.7% |
| 2:30 PM | Houston @ Kansas State | 35–16 (51 U) | 59.0 | 55.5 |
Over 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.5 · 50.5% |
+1.2 | -2.5 |
Houston +2.5 ✓ WON edge 1.3 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Texas @ Oklahoma | 24–27 (51 O) | 44.9 | 39.5 |
Over 39.5 ✓ WON edge 5.4 · 50.5% |
-7.6 | +8.5 |
Oklahoma +8.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Duke @ Georgia Tech | 25–28 (53 O) | 52.0 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 2.5 · 50.4% |
-2.6 | +6.5 |
Georgia Tech +6.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Buffalo @ Toledo | 23–8 (31 U) | 54.3 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 51.2% |
+19.4 | -17.5 |
Toledo -17.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Illinois @ Michigan State | 38–37 (75 O) | 54.6 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 5.1 · 50.5% |
-1.6 | +3.5 |
Michigan State +3.5 ✓ WON edge 1.9 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Virginia Tech @ California | 20–25 (45 U) | 52.8 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 54.2% |
-10.8 | +9.5 |
Virginia Tech -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | UCLA @ Oregon | 17–15 (32 U) | 55.3 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✓ WON edge 4.2 · 54.2% |
+5.6 | -12.5 |
UCLA +12.5 ✓ WON edge 6.9 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Tulsa @ Navy | 26–34 (60 O) | 50.2 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 0.7 · 49.6% |
+7.4 | -2.5 |
Navy -2.5 ✓ WON edge 4.9 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt | 52–17 (69 O) | 62.0 | 58.5 |
Over 58.5 ✓ WON edge 3.5 · 50.5% |
-2.6 | +9.5 |
Vanderbilt +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.9 · 52.6% |
| 2:45 PM | UConn @ Temple | 34–20 (54 U) | 57.8 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.3 · 50.5% |
+0.3 | -3.5 |
UConn +3.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.9% |
| 3:15 PM | Maryland @ Ohio State | 16–45 (61 O) | 55.1 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 51.6% |
+31.0 | -35.5 |
Maryland +35.5 ✓ WON edge 4.5 · 50.9% |
| 3:15 PM | Tennessee @ Arkansas | 24–17 (41 U) | 55.5 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.0 · 50.5% |
-12.8 | +13.5 |
Arkansas +13.5 ✓ WON edge 0.7 · 49.1% |
| 5:00 PM | San Diego State @ Oregon State | 14–66 (80 O) | 48.0 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 9.5 · 55.1% |
+6.9 | -13.5 |
San Diego State +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.6 · 50.9% |
| 6:00 PM | Nevada @ UTEP | 30–13 (43 U) | 51.6 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 50.1% |
-10.4 | +9.5 |
Nevada -9.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 50.9% |
| 6:00 PM | North Dakota State @ UNLV | 7–13 (20 U) | 49.9 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 49.3% |
+3.7 | +3.5 |
UNLV +3.5 ✓ WON edge 7.2 · 52.6% |
| 6:00 PM | LSU @ Kentucky | 34–35 (69 O) | 50.9 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.6 · 54.2% |
-14.6 | +9.5 |
LSU -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.1 · 50.9% |
| 6:00 PM | UAB @ Memphis | 13–38 (51 U) | 56.7 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 1.9 · 54.2% |
+13.5 | -14.5 |
UAB +14.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.0 · 50.9% |
| 6:00 PM | Coastal Carolina @ Marshall | 27–21 (48 U) | 52.1 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 4.5 · 54.2% |
+3.8 | -2.5 |
Marshall -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 49.1% |
| 6:30 PM | Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech | 31–32 (63 O) | 50.5 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 50.0% |
-7.0 | -2.5 |
Louisiana +2.5 ✓ WON edge 9.5 · 50.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Air Force @ Northern Illinois | 28–7 (35 U) | 51.8 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 50.5% |
-11.2 | +11.5 |
Northern Illinois +11.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.3 · 49.1% |
| 6:30 PM | Georgia @ Alabama | 20–17 (37 U) | 51.9 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 3.6 · 54.2% |
+0.6 | -1.5 |
Georgia +1.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 50.9% |
| 6:30 PM | USC @ Penn State | 31–23 (54 U) | 52.3 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 2.2 · 54.2% |
+9.3 | -1.5 |
Penn State -1.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.8 · 52.6% |
| 6:30 PM | James Madison @ Georgia Southern | 27–24 (51 U) | 53.0 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 52.1% |
-10.3 | +8.5 |
James Madison -8.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 50.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Syracuse @ Virginia | 25–28 (53 O) | 49.1 | 50.5 |
Under 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 54.2% |
+20.0 | -8.5 |
Virginia -8.5 ✗ LOST edge 11.5 · 52.6% |
| 7:00 PM | Minnesota @ Purdue | 13–41 (54 O) | 53.2 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 49.8% |
-8.9 | +2.5 |
Minnesota -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.4 · 50.9% |
| 7:00 PM | Kansas @ Utah | 24–41 (65 O) | 51.3 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 51.2% |
+20.5 | -15.5 |
Utah -15.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 52.6% |
| 9:30 PM | Hawai'i @ Arizona State | 12–30 (42) | 50.6 | — | — | +11.1 | — | — |
| 9:30 PM | Boise State @ Fresno State | 38–31 (69 O) | 52.2 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 3.7 · 50.5% |
-1.3 | +6.5 |
Fresno State +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.2 · 52.6% |
Model: model_2026-09-27_v1 generated 2026-10-05 12:00:33 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).