Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 AM | Washington State @ Kansas State | 7–34 (41 U) | 49.8 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 54.1% |
+10.5 | -18.5 |
Washington State +18.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.0 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | Arizona State @ Texas A&M | 20–48 (68 O) | 50.8 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 52.6% |
+16.7 | -13.5 |
Texas A&M -13.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.2% |
| 11:00 AM | Penn State @ Temple | 27–9 (36 U) | 52.2 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.7 · 49.6% |
-6.8 | +23.5 |
Temple +23.5 ✓ WON edge 16.7 · 52.1% |
| 11:00 AM | Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech | 21–44 (65 O) | 49.6 | 50.5 |
Under 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.9 · 52.7% |
+11.6 | -18.5 |
Old Dominion +18.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.9 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | App State @ East Carolina | 27–24 (51) | 50.5 | — | — | -1.5 | — | — |
| 11:00 AM | Oklahoma @ Michigan | 10–17 (27 U) | 48.2 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.7 · 51.2% |
-6.1 | +6.5 |
Michigan +6.5 ✓ WON edge 0.4 · 50.2% |
| 11:00 AM | South Florida @ Army | 28–24 (52 O) | 49.9 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 49.6% |
-1.7 | -3.5 |
South Florida +3.5 ✓ WON edge 5.2 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | Wake Forest @ Purdue | 38–36 (74 O) | 50.7 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 49.5% |
+1.3 | +4.5 |
Purdue +4.5 ✓ WON edge 5.8 · 52.1% |
| 11:00 AM | Oregon @ Oklahoma State | 31–39 (70 O) | 51.5 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.0 · 54.1% |
-21.5 | +21.5 |
Oregon -21.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.0 · 49.8% |
| 11:45 AM | Western Kentucky @ Georgia | 20–70 (90) | 55.4 | — | — | +29.3 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | Rice @ Notre Dame | 0–52 (52) | 57.0 | — | — | +23.9 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | UL Monroe @ UAB | 20–26 (46 U) | 56.7 | 56.5 |
Over 56.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 48.1% |
+15.3 | -10.5 |
UAB -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.8 · 52.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Maryland @ UConn | 38–14 (52 U) | 52.6 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 52.7% |
+8.7 | +12.5 |
UConn +12.5 ✗ LOST edge 21.1 · 52.5% |
| 2:30 PM | Duke @ Illinois | 31–27 (58 O) | 52.8 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 52.6% |
+8.2 | -6.5 |
Illinois -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.7 · 50.2% |
| 2:30 PM | Alabama @ Kentucky | 45–17 (62 O) | 50.3 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 49.6% |
-7.0 | +10.5 |
Kentucky +10.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.5 · 50.6% |
| 2:30 PM | California @ Syracuse | 21–18 (39 U) | 53.3 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 54.1% |
+9.1 | -3.5 |
Syracuse -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.6 · 52.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State | 7–35 (42 U) | 55.5 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.0 · 51.2% |
+9.9 | -18.5 |
Eastern Michigan +18.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.6 · 50.7% |
| 2:30 PM | UTSA @ Texas State | 31–26 (57 U) | 55.9 | 64.5 |
Under 64.5 ✓ WON edge 8.6 · 55.7% |
-3.5 | -0.5 |
UTSA +0.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 50.7% |
| 2:30 PM | UCF @ Pittsburgh | 7–12 (19 U) | 53.6 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 54.1% |
+7.6 | -7.5 |
Pittsburgh -7.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 50.2% |
| 2:30 PM | Mississippi State @ Minnesota | 38–13 (51 U) | 50.7 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 4.8 · 54.1% |
-1.7 | +1.5 |
Mississippi State -1.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 50.0% |
| 2:30 PM | Arizona @ BYU | 17–28 (45 U) | 48.7 | 50.5 |
Under 50.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 53.1% |
+6.0 | -7.5 |
Arizona +7.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.5 · 50.7% |
| 2:30 PM | Utah State @ Washington | 14–16 (30 U) | 52.2 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 3.3 · 54.1% |
+24.5 | -25.5 |
Utah State +25.5 ✓ WON edge 1.0 · 50.7% |
| 2:45 PM | UNLV @ North Texas | 6–44 (50 U) | 53.4 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 4.1 · 54.1% |
+0.8 | +4.5 |
North Texas +4.5 ✓ WON edge 5.2 · 52.1% |
| 3:15 PM | Delaware @ Vanderbilt | 26–35 (61 O) | 59.0 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✓ WON edge 5.5 · 51.2% |
+21.6 | -20.5 |
Vanderbilt -20.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.1 · 50.2% |
| 5:00 PM | Jacksonville State @ Ohio | 27–29 (56 O) | 55.5 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 51.2% |
+3.6 | -1.5 |
Ohio -1.5 ✓ WON edge 2.1 · 50.2% |
| 5:00 PM | Memphis @ Boise State | 20–38 (58 O) | 54.9 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.6 · 52.5% |
+1.6 | -8.5 |
Memphis +8.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.9 · 50.7% |
| 5:00 PM | Buffalo @ Florida International | 20–33 (53 O) | 50.0 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 49.6% |
+0.3 | -10.5 |
Buffalo +10.5 ✗ LOST edge 10.2 · 50.7% |
| 6:00 PM | South Alabama @ Tulane | 24–28 (52 O) | 49.9 | 50.5 |
Under 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.6 · 52.5% |
+7.1 | -10.5 |
South Alabama +10.5 ✓ WON edge 3.4 · 50.7% |
| 6:00 PM | Tennessee @ Georgia Tech | 45–24 (69 O) | 53.4 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 53.8% |
-5.2 | +13.5 |
Georgia Tech +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.2 · 52.1% |
| 6:00 PM | Tulsa @ Sam Houston | 23–17 (40 U) | 52.3 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 49.0% |
-6.2 | +13.5 |
Sam Houston +13.5 ✓ WON edge 7.3 · 52.1% |
| 6:00 PM | Middle Tennessee @ Marshall | 26–28 (54) | 52.8 | — | — | -5.0 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Georgia State @ Kennesaw State | 31–17 (48) | 54.4 | — | — | +9.7 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Bowling Green @ Nebraska | 7–56 (63 O) | 54.0 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 49.6% |
+15.8 | -28.5 |
Bowling Green +28.5 ✗ LOST edge 12.7 · 50.7% |
| 6:15 PM | San Diego State @ UCLA | 10–28 (38 U) | 51.1 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 52.7% |
-1.5 | -12.5 |
San Diego State +12.5 ✗ LOST edge 14.0 · 50.7% |
| 6:30 PM | Georgia Southern @ Clemson | 7–22 (29 U) | 53.3 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 2.2 · 53.8% |
+1.9 | -21.5 |
Georgia Southern +21.5 ✓ WON edge 19.6 · 56.3% |
| 6:30 PM | Ohio State @ Texas | 23–24 (47 U) | 49.9 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 49.6% |
+1.0 | -0.5 |
Texas -0.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 50.2% |
| 6:30 PM | Texas Tech @ Oregon State | 35–24 (59 O) | 51.2 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✓ WON edge 0.6 · 48.8% |
-17.9 | +26.5 |
Oregon State +26.5 ✓ WON edge 8.6 · 52.1% |
| 6:30 PM | Louisiana Tech @ LSU | 14–45 (59) | 50.7 | — | — | +15.6 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | Iowa State @ Iowa | 13–16 (29 U) | 45.8 | 41.5 |
Over 41.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 51.2% |
+14.7 | -14.5 |
Iowa -14.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 50.2% |
| 6:30 PM | Navy @ Florida Atlantic | 30–38 (68) | 56.7 | — | — | -8.5 | — | — |
| 6:45 PM | Southern Miss @ Auburn | 8–43 (51) | 49.4 | — | — | +9.1 | — | — |
| 6:45 PM | Charlotte @ Ole Miss | 9–41 (50) | 56.0 | — | — | +25.8 | — | — |
| 9:00 PM | North Dakota State @ Air Force | 38–32 (70) | 53.9 | — | — | +4.2 | — | — |
| 9:15 PM | Arkansas @ Utah | 10–43 (53 U) | 54.8 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 52.9% |
+12.7 | -12.5 |
Utah -12.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 50.2% |
| 9:30 PM | Sacramento State @ Fresno State | 3–49 (52) | 48.9 | — | — | +1.8 | — | — |
| 10:00 PM | Louisiana @ USC | 30–49 (79) | 56.4 | — | — | +20.5 | — | — |
| 10:59 PM | New Mexico State @ Hawai'i | 19–29 (48) | 56.2 | — | — | +12.3 | — | — |
Model: model_2026-09-06_v1 generated 2026-09-07 12:00:46 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).