Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:00 PM | Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech | 35–33 (68 O) | 51.1 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 54.2% |
-3.7 | -3.5 |
Pittsburgh +3.5 ✓ WON edge 7.2 · 50.9% |
| 6:00 PM | Liberty @ Delaware | 30–14 (44 U) | 53.9 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.4 · 50.5% |
-11.2 | +7.5 |
Liberty -7.5 ✓ WON edge 3.7 · 50.9% |
| 7:00 PM | Penn State @ Northwestern | 13–34 (47 O) | 49.0 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 3.5 · 50.5% |
-3.8 | +2.5 |
Penn State -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 50.9% |
Model: model_2026-09-27_v1 generated 2026-09-28 12:01:10 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).