Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 AM | Memphis @ Charlotte | 59–8 (67) | 52.6 | — | — | -15.2 | — | — |
| 11:00 AM | Michigan @ Minnesota | 14–20 (34 U) | 43.2 | 43.5 |
Under 43.5 ✓ WON edge 0.3 · 51.3% |
-11.9 | +6.5 |
Michigan -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.4 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Navy @ Air Force | 9–14 (23 U) | 55.1 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.6 · 50.5% |
+6.6 | -2.5 |
Air Force -2.5 ✓ WON edge 4.1 · 52.6% |
| 11:00 AM | West Virginia @ Iowa State | 42–45 (87 O) | 49.1 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.4 · 54.2% |
+10.0 | -1.5 |
Iowa State -1.5 ✓ WON edge 8.5 · 52.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Middle Tennessee @ Kansas | 0–55 (55) | 53.2 | — | — | +10.7 | — | — |
| 11:00 AM | Alabama @ Mississippi State | 56–23 (79 O) | 54.9 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.6 · 54.2% |
-3.8 | +5.5 |
Mississippi State +5.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.7 · 49.1% |
| 11:00 AM | Stanford @ Wake Forest | 3–57 (60 O) | 52.1 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 54.2% |
+13.0 | -13.5 |
Stanford +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.5 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 37–26 (63 O) | 52.1 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 4.6 · 50.5% |
-27.7 | +21.5 |
Notre Dame -21.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.2 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Syracuse @ UConn | 42–41 (83 O) | 50.1 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 54.2% |
+11.5 | +5.5 |
UConn +5.5 ✓ WON edge 17.0 · 52.6% |
| 11:00 AM | UCF @ Houston | 17–27 (44 U) | 52.8 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 49.7% |
+7.9 | -11.5 |
UCF +11.5 ✓ WON edge 3.6 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Boston College @ SMU | 16–25 (41 U) | 53.1 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 4.4 · 54.2% |
+12.3 | -20.5 |
Boston College +20.5 ✓ WON edge 8.2 · 50.9% |
| 11:30 AM | Michigan State @ Wisconsin | 3–31 (34 U) | 47.1 | 44.5 |
Over 44.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.6 · 50.5% |
+8.7 | -10.5 |
Michigan State +10.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 50.9% |
| 11:45 AM | Vanderbilt @ Georgia | 14–38 (52 U) | 53.6 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.1 · 49.7% |
+19.2 | -23.5 |
Vanderbilt +23.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 50.9% |
| 12:00 PM | Western Michigan @ Buffalo | 20–17 (37 U) | 44.7 | 48.5 |
Under 48.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 54.2% |
-3.7 | +14.5 |
Buffalo +14.5 ✓ WON edge 10.8 · 52.6% |
| 1:00 PM | Toledo @ Ball State | 39–24 (63 O) | 49.1 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 54.2% |
-16.8 | +19.5 |
Ball State +19.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.0% |
| 2:30 PM | Auburn @ Tennessee | 14–24 (38 U) | 50.8 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 3.7 · 54.2% |
+10.1 | -7.5 |
Tennessee -7.5 ✓ WON edge 2.6 · 49.7% |
| 2:30 PM | Ohio @ Kent State | 13–10 (23 U) | 51.9 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 49.7% |
-8.8 | +4.5 |
Ohio -4.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Virginia @ Florida State | 7–38 (45 U) | 53.9 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 50.4% |
-2.3 | +2.5 |
Florida State +2.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) | 24–20 (44) | 52.1 | — | — | +20.0 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | California @ UNLV | 31–39 (70 O) | 50.7 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.8 · 54.2% |
+6.1 | -2.5 |
UNLV -2.5 ✓ WON edge 3.6 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Louisville @ NC State | 28–31 (59 U) | 54.6 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✓ WON edge 4.9 · 54.2% |
-3.7 | +5.5 |
NC State +5.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Ohio State @ Iowa | 31–14 (45 U) | 44.7 | 45.5 |
Under 45.5 ✓ WON edge 0.8 · 52.9% |
-11.5 | +13.5 |
Iowa +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.0 · 49.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts | 38–14 (52) | 52.0 | — | — | +5.9 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | Old Dominion @ Georgia State | 10–42 (52 O) | 53.8 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✓ WON edge 2.3 · 50.3% |
+6.6 | +1.5 |
Georgia State +1.5 ✓ WON edge 8.1 · 52.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Florida @ Missouri | 17–45 (62 O) | 58.5 | 56.5 |
Over 56.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 50.0% |
-4.5 | +4.5 |
Florida -4.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.0 · 50.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Akron @ Central Michigan | 17–41 (58 O) | 47.7 | 46.5 |
Over 46.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 49.7% |
+8.2 | -5.5 |
Central Michigan -5.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 49.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Wyoming @ North Dakota State | 0–28 (28 U) | 49.7 | 46.5 |
Over 46.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.2 · 50.5% |
+14.2 | -19.5 |
Wyoming +19.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.3 · 50.9% |
| 2:45 PM | Marshall @ James Madison | 17–45 (62 O) | 52.5 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.0 · 54.2% |
+13.1 | -17.5 |
Marshall +17.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.4 · 50.9% |
| 3:00 PM | Maryland @ Nebraska | 23–48 (71 O) | 58.1 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✓ WON edge 5.6 · 50.5% |
+21.0 | -14.5 |
Nebraska -14.5 ✓ WON edge 6.5 · 52.6% |
| 3:00 PM | UTEP @ New Mexico | 7–61 (68 O) | 51.3 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 49.9% |
+26.9 | -22.5 |
New Mexico -22.5 ✓ WON edge 4.4 · 52.6% |
| 3:15 PM | Kentucky @ South Carolina | 35–34 (69 O) | 52.2 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 54.2% |
+11.1 | -2.5 |
South Carolina -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.6 · 52.6% |
| 3:15 PM | Purdue @ Illinois | 24–17 (41 U) | 59.6 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 53.4% |
+11.1 | -9.5 |
Illinois -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.6 · 49.1% |
| 5:00 PM | Oregon State @ Colorado State | 56–26 (82 O) | 58.0 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.5 · 54.2% |
+2.6 | +4.5 |
Colorado State +4.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.1 · 52.6% |
| 6:00 PM | Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina | 31–24 (55 O) | 54.5 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✓ WON edge 1.0 · 49.7% |
+1.8 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Arkansas @ Texas A&M | 7–34 (41 U) | 51.0 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 51.9% |
+17.3 | -14.5 |
Texas A&M -14.5 ✓ WON edge 2.8 · 50.5% |
| 6:00 PM | BYU @ TCU | 17–10 (27 U) | 52.1 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.6 · 50.5% |
-5.0 | +6.5 |
TCU +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.5 · 49.1% |
| 6:00 PM | UL Monroe @ South Alabama | 35–52 (87 O) | 60.7 | 55.5 |
Over 55.5 ✓ WON edge 5.2 · 50.5% |
+16.5 | -14.5 |
South Alabama -14.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 49.1% |
| 6:00 PM | UTSA @ Rice | 16–14 (30 U) | 56.8 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.3 · 50.2% |
-14.3 | +10.5 |
UTSA -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.8 · 50.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Army @ Louisiana Tech | 29–31 (60) | 49.3 | — | — | -6.4 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | Texas Tech @ Colorado | 29–7 (36 U) | 52.1 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.6 · 49.8% |
-20.2 | +13.5 |
Texas Tech -13.5 ✓ WON edge 6.7 · 50.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Miami @ Clemson | 41–13 (54) | 45.8 | — | — | -16.0 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | Washington @ USC | 21–25 (46 U) | 55.6 | 55.5 |
Over 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 49.1% |
+11.5 | -9.5 |
USC -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.0 · 49.1% |
| 6:30 PM | Temple @ South Florida | 17–13 (30 U) | 56.5 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.0 · 50.5% |
+10.7 | -5.5 |
South Florida -5.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.2 · 52.6% |
| 6:30 PM | Utah State @ Boise State | 18–37 (55 O) | 52.9 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 3.4 · 50.5% |
+15.8 | -20.5 |
Utah State +20.5 ✓ WON edge 4.7 · 50.9% |
| 7:00 PM | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 20–23 (43) | 51.3 | — | — | +8.5 | — | — |
| 7:00 PM | Indiana @ Rutgers | 47–15 (62 O) | 53.7 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 54.2% |
-18.5 | +23.5 |
Rutgers +23.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.0 · 52.6% |
| 8:30 PM | Fresno State @ Washington State | 26–6 (32 U) | 43.5 | 46.5 |
Under 46.5 ✓ WON edge 3.0 · 54.2% |
-1.7 | -1.5 |
Fresno State +1.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.9% |
| 9:30 PM | Texas State @ San Diego State | 29–31 (60 U) | 55.2 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 5.4 · 54.2% |
+4.0 | +3.5 |
San Diego State +3.5 ✓ WON edge 7.5 · 52.6% |
| 9:30 PM | Baylor @ Arizona State | 55–19 (74 O) | 51.1 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 49.5% |
-3.1 | -3.5 |
Baylor +3.5 ✓ WON edge 6.6 · 50.9% |
| 10:00 PM | Cincinnati @ Arizona | 7–34 (41 U) | 56.4 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 50.0% |
+13.4 | -7.5 |
Arizona -7.5 ✓ WON edge 5.9 · 52.6% |
| 10:59 PM | San José State @ Hawai'i | 20–16 (36) | 50.4 | — | — | +9.2 | — | — |
Model: model_2026-09-27_v1 generated 2026-09-28 12:01:10 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).