Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 AM | Coastal Carolina @ Delaware | 14–22 (36 U) | 55.0 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 2.5 · 52.4% |
+6.7 | -5.5 |
Delaware -5.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 51.3% |
| 11:00 AM | Akron @ Minnesota | 7–41 (48 U) | 47.8 | 49.5 |
Under 49.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 52.4% |
+13.2 | -24.5 |
Akron +24.5 ✗ LOST edge 11.3 · 51.2% |
| 11:00 AM | Georgia @ Arkansas | 45–17 (62 O) | 57.7 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.7% |
-18.6 | +24.5 |
Arkansas +24.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.9 · 51.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Arizona State @ Kansas | 24–17 (41) | 51.4 | — | — | +5.3 | — | — |
| 11:00 AM | Kent State @ Ohio State | 3–59 (62) | 55.2 | — | — | +41.0 | — | — |
| 11:00 AM | North Texas @ Texas State | 35–49 (84 O) | 58.4 | 62.5 |
Under 62.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.1 · 52.4% |
-1.0 | -2.5 |
North Texas +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.5 · 50.9% |
| 11:00 AM | Tulane @ Kansas State | 20–31 (51 O) | 53.0 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 3.5 · 50.8% |
+7.8 | -20.5 |
Tulane +20.5 ✓ WON edge 12.7 · 51.2% |
| 11:00 AM | Bowling Green @ Iowa State | 7–55 (62 O) | 48.9 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 3.4 · 50.7% |
+22.8 | -23.5 |
Bowling Green +23.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.7 · 50.8% |
| 11:00 AM | North Carolina @ Clemson | 20–28 (48 O) | 44.3 | 44.5 |
Under 44.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 50.7% |
+1.4 | -3.5 |
North Carolina +3.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 50.8% |
| 11:00 AM | Buffalo @ Penn State | 13–55 (68) | 46.7 | — | — | +29.0 | — | — |
| 11:30 AM | Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin | 10–54 (64 O) | 50.6 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 50.9% |
+8.6 | -24.5 |
Eastern Michigan +24.5 ✗ LOST edge 15.9 · 51.2% |
| 11:45 AM | NC State @ Vanderbilt | 31–35 (66 O) | 56.3 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✓ WON edge 3.8 · 50.8% |
+11.4 | -3.5 |
Vanderbilt -3.5 ✓ WON edge 7.9 · 51.9% |
| 12:00 PM | Wyoming @ Central Michigan | 10–24 (34 U) | 44.5 | 39.5 |
Over 39.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.0 · 50.9% |
+3.4 | -1.5 |
Central Michigan -1.5 ✓ WON edge 1.9 · 51.4% |
| 2:00 PM | Temple @ Toledo | 48–49 (97 O) | 52.5 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✓ WON edge 1.0 · 49.3% |
+5.4 | -5.5 |
Temple +5.5 ✓ WON edge 0.1 · 50.8% |
| 2:30 PM | SMU @ Louisville | 31–41 (72 O) | 51.2 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.3 · 53.9% |
-1.4 | -1.5 |
SMU +1.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.0 · 50.8% |
| 2:30 PM | Florida State @ Alabama | 36–50 (86 O) | 49.6 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 0.1 · 49.3% |
+12.5 | -20.5 |
Florida State +20.5 ✓ WON edge 8.0 · 51.2% |
| 2:30 PM | Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati | 31–35 (66 O) | 54.0 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✓ WON edge 3.5 · 50.8% |
+16.8 | -14.5 |
Cincinnati -14.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.3 · 51.4% |
| 2:30 PM | UTEP @ Michigan | 17–52 (69) | 47.9 | — | — | +27.5 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | Kentucky @ Texas A&M | 31–21 (52 O) | 52.4 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 2.9 · 50.6% |
+23.4 | -17.5 |
Texas A&M -17.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.9 · 51.9% |
| 2:30 PM | USC @ Rutgers | 42–35 (77 O) | 53.9 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.6 · 53.6% |
-16.5 | +26.5 |
Rutgers +26.5 ✓ WON edge 10.0 · 51.9% |
| 2:30 PM | Utah State @ Utah | 0–33 (33 U) | 55.0 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 52.4% |
+24.7 | -28.5 |
Utah State +28.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.8 · 51.0% |
| 3:00 PM | Ball State @ Liberty | 15–51 (66 O) | 52.1 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 2.6 · 50.0% |
+21.8 | -14.5 |
Liberty -14.5 ✓ WON edge 7.3 · 51.9% |
| 3:00 PM | Western Kentucky @ Indiana | 0–38 (38 U) | 59.3 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 50.7% |
+32.2 | -44.5 |
Western Kentucky +44.5 ✓ WON edge 12.3 · 51.2% |
| 3:00 PM | Louisiana Tech @ Baylor | 19–36 (55 O) | 54.1 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 49.3% |
+15.0 | -17.5 |
Louisiana Tech +17.5 ✓ WON edge 2.5 · 50.8% |
| 3:00 PM | Stanford @ Duke | 7–35 (42 U) | 51.6 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.1 · 49.3% |
+9.4 | -9.5 |
Stanford +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 50.8% |
| 3:15 PM | Mississippi State @ South Carolina | 41–34 (75 O) | 52.9 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.6 · 53.6% |
+6.7 | -3.5 |
South Carolina -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.2 · 51.8% |
| 5:00 PM | East Carolina @ Old Dominion | 20–17 (37) | 54.6 | — | — | +3.3 | — | — |
| 5:00 PM | Charlotte @ App State | 21–26 (47) | 55.3 | — | — | +11.0 | — | — |
| 5:00 PM | Florida International @ Florida Atlantic | 10–16 (26 U) | 60.5 | 62.5 |
Under 62.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 52.4% |
-0.8 | -6.5 |
Florida International +6.5 ✓ WON edge 7.3 · 51.2% |
| 5:30 PM | Marshall @ Missouri State | 30–24 (54) | 52.6 | — | — | -3.6 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | UConn @ Southern Miss | 48–20 (68) | 53.3 | — | — | -0.5 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Troy @ Missouri | 17–27 (44) | 51.6 | — | — | +16.8 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Ohio @ South Alabama | 36–41 (77) | 55.7 | — | — | +6.2 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Georgia State @ UCF | 30–44 (74 O) | 52.9 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✓ WON edge 0.4 · 49.3% |
+11.7 | -21.5 |
Georgia State +21.5 ✓ WON edge 9.8 · 51.2% |
| 6:00 PM | Florida @ Auburn | 44–39 (83 O) | 51.8 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.7 · 52.4% |
+1.8 | +2.5 |
Auburn +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.3 · 51.9% |
| 6:00 PM | Western Michigan @ Rice | 28–21 (49 O) | 45.2 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 49.3% |
-11.3 | +9.5 |
Western Michigan -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 50.8% |
| 6:00 PM | Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville State | 27–31 (58) | 53.2 | — | — | +5.7 | — | — |
| 6:00 PM | Nevada @ Middle Tennessee | 20–27 (47) | 52.4 | — | — | +2.3 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | BYU @ Colorado State | 41–23 (64 O) | 52.4 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 50.7% |
-7.7 | +18.5 |
Colorado State +18.5 ✓ WON edge 10.8 · 51.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Michigan State @ Notre Dame | 10–27 (37 U) | 53.4 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 0.1 · 50.7% |
+22.0 | -29.5 |
Michigan State +29.5 ✓ WON edge 7.5 · 51.2% |
| 6:30 PM | LSU @ Ole Miss | 24–32 (56 U) | 51.6 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 6.9 · 53.9% |
-0.2 | +3.5 |
Ole Miss +3.5 ✓ WON edge 3.3 · 51.9% |
| 6:30 PM | West Virginia @ Virginia | 38–27 (65) | 48.9 | — | — | +11.2 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | New Mexico @ Oklahoma | 6–14 (20 U) | 44.3 | 47.5 |
Under 47.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 52.4% |
+18.2 | -23.5 |
New Mexico +23.5 ✓ WON edge 5.3 · 51.2% |
| 6:30 PM | Virginia Tech @ Maryland | 35–26 (61 O) | 55.7 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✓ WON edge 2.2 · 49.5% |
+4.0 | +3.5 |
Maryland +3.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.5 · 51.9% |
| 6:30 PM | Colorado @ Northwestern | 7–41 (48 U) | 47.3 | 48.5 |
Under 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 51.9% |
+9.7 | -3.5 |
Northwestern -3.5 ✓ WON edge 6.2 · 51.9% |
| 6:45 PM | Kennesaw State @ Tennessee | 9–42 (51) | 58.7 | — | — | +27.5 | — | — |
| 7:00 PM | Arkansas State @ TCU | 7–31 (38 U) | 52.5 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 52.4% |
+11.2 | -20.5 |
Arkansas State +20.5 ✗ LOST edge 9.3 · 51.2% |
| 7:00 PM | UAB @ Louisiana | 14–21 (35 U) | 58.5 | 56.5 |
Over 56.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.0 · 49.3% |
+4.1 | -7.5 |
UAB +7.5 ✓ WON edge 3.4 · 50.9% |
| 7:00 PM | UTSA @ Texas | 6–30 (36 U) | 56.2 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 1.3 · 52.1% |
+17.6 | -30.5 |
UTSA +30.5 ✓ WON edge 12.9 · 51.2% |
| 9:00 PM | James Madison @ San Diego State | 26–13 (39) | 45.5 | — | — | +2.4 | — | — |
| 9:30 PM | Northern Illinois @ Arizona | 17–42 (59 O) | 52.1 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 2.6 · 50.1% |
+22.1 | -34.5 |
Northern Illinois +34.5 ✓ WON edge 12.4 · 51.2% |
| 9:30 PM | North Dakota State @ Sacramento State | 31–10 (41) | 53.9 | — | — | -7.5 | — | — |
| 10:00 PM | Fresno State @ San José State | 26–10 (36 U) | 51.2 | 50.5 |
Over 50.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.7 · 49.3% |
-4.6 | +6.5 |
San José State +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 51.4% |
| 10:00 PM | Purdue @ UCLA | 38–52 (90 O) | 55.5 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✓ WON edge 3.0 · 50.6% |
+10.0 | -14.5 |
Purdue +14.5 ✓ WON edge 4.5 · 51.2% |
Model: model_2026-09-13_v1 generated 2026-09-14 12:00:44 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).