Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:00 PM | Florida State @ Louisville | 20–44 (64 O) | 59.4 | 58.5 |
Over 58.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 49.7% |
+0.9 | -5.5 |
Florida State +5.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.5 · 50.9% |
| 8:00 PM | Washington State @ Utah State | 16–17 (33 U) | 45.2 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.7 · 49.8% |
-0.2 | -3.5 |
Washington State +3.5 ✓ WON edge 3.7 · 50.9% |
| 8:00 PM | Wyoming @ San José State | 16–13 (29 U) | 49.9 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.4 · 50.5% |
+2.6 | -6.5 |
Wyoming +6.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 50.9% |
| 8:00 PM | Iowa @ Washington | 41–24 (65 O) | 43.0 | 41.5 |
Over 41.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 49.7% |
-6.7 | -2.5 |
Iowa +2.5 ✓ WON edge 9.2 · 50.9% |
| 9:15 PM | Iowa State @ BYU | 10–24 (34 U) | 51.2 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.7 · 50.5% |
+13.0 | -10.5 |
BYU -10.5 ✓ WON edge 2.5 · 49.2% |
Model: model_2026-09-27_v1 generated 2026-10-05 12:00:33 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).