Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:00 PM | Missouri State @ Delaware | 38–61 (99 O) | 53.3 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 50.4% |
+6.2 | -3.5 |
Delaware -3.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.3% |
| 6:00 PM | Middle Tennessee @ Florida International | 26–23 (49 O) | 48.7 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.4% |
+12.7 | -10.5 |
Florida International -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.2 · 49.4% |
| 6:30 PM | South Alabama @ Marshall | 13–20 (33 U) | 64.7 | 64.5 |
Over 64.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 47.5% |
-4.4 | +2.5 |
South Alabama -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 50.6% |
Model: model_2026-10-11_v1 generated 2026-10-19 12:00:21 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).