College Football Analytics
Machine-learned totals and spreads for FBS football, evaluated honestly against the closing market line — with every line move from Hard Rock Bet recorded along the way. Active model: model_2026-10-11_v1
52
Predictions this week
1,112,458
Line snapshots
168–162
Totals record
166–163
Spread record
11
Books tracked
Thu 10:00 AM
Latest line poll (CT)
Next Kickoffs
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | HR Spread | HR Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 10/22 6:00 PM | James Madison @ App State | — | — |
| Thu 10/22 6:00 PM | Liberty @ Kennesaw State | +9.5 | 50.5 |
| Thu 10/22 6:30 PM | East Carolina @ Memphis | -10.5 | 54.5 |
| Fri 10/23 6:00 PM | Duke @ Virginia | -2.5 | 47.5 |
| Fri 10/23 6:00 PM | Massachusetts @ UConn | — | — |
| Fri 10/23 7:30 PM | Army @ Tulsa | -1.5 | 54.5 |
| Fri 10/23 8:00 PM | Air Force @ Wyoming | +4.5 | 44.5 |
| Fri 10/23 9:30 PM | NC State @ Stanford | +6.5 | 56.5 |
Spread shown from the home side (negative = home favored). Full slate with model numbers →
Predictions
Model totals and spreads vs Hard Rock Bet lines, with calibrated probabilities. Browse by date.
Line Movement
Opening → current → close for every game, from the raw snapshot series.
CLV Tracker
Closing line value on recorded model positions — the headline performance metric.
Model Performance
The honest scoreboard: model RMSE vs closing-line RMSE, by season and segment.