Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 AM | Kansas @ Kansas State | 24–35 (59 O) | 51.5 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.0 · 54.1% |
+4.1 | -6.5 |
Kansas +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Pittsburgh @ Boston College | 21–27 (48 O) | 48.8 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✓ WON edge 5.3 · 50.4% |
-11.3 | +6.5 |
Pittsburgh -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.8 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Cincinnati @ West Virginia | 42–45 (87 O) | 54.3 | 62.5 |
Under 62.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.2 · 55.9% |
+1.6 | -2.5 |
Cincinnati +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.9 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Northwestern @ Michigan State | 24–21 (45 U) | 50.6 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 50.4% |
-10.2 | +8.5 |
Northwestern -8.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.7 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Mississippi State @ LSU | 0–31 (31 U) | 57.3 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 53.3% |
+10.7 | -11.5 |
Mississippi State +11.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Virginia @ SMU | 13–23 (36 U) | 51.1 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 53.3% |
+2.6 | -8.5 |
Virginia +8.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.9 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Ball State @ Bowling Green | 32–31 (63 O) | 48.2 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.4% |
+12.8 | -7.5 |
Bowling Green -7.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.3 · 52.4% |
| 11:00 AM | Ohio State @ Indiana | 19–15 (34 U) | 51.1 | 51.5 |
Under 51.5 ✓ WON edge 0.4 · 53.0% |
-7.7 | +3.5 |
Ohio State -3.5 ✓ WON edge 4.2 · 50.6% |
| 11:00 AM | Georgia State @ James Madison | 22–49 (71 O) | 55.2 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.3 · 53.3% |
+14.5 | -10.5 |
James Madison -10.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 52.4% |
| 11:00 AM | Florida Atlantic @ Army | 24–56 (80 O) | 55.8 | 55.5 |
Over 55.5 ✓ WON edge 0.3 · 48.0% |
+8.9 | -2.5 |
Army -2.5 ✓ WON edge 6.4 · 52.4% |
| 11:00 AM | Florida @ Texas | 27–24 (51 U) | 55.4 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.9 · 50.4% |
+12.3 | -10.5 |
Texas -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 49.4% |
| 11:30 AM | Rutgers @ Maryland | 37–30 (67 O) | 50.1 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.4 · 55.9% |
-4.3 | -4.5 |
Rutgers +4.5 ✓ WON edge 8.8 · 50.6% |
| 12:00 PM | Charlotte @ Temple | 38–31 (69 O) | 50.0 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 0.5 · 48.5% |
+14.9 | -22.5 |
Charlotte +22.5 ✓ WON edge 7.6 · 50.6% |
| 12:00 PM | Massachusetts @ Buffalo | 18–25 (43) | 49.1 | — | — | +5.8 | — | — |
| 12:30 PM | Western Michigan @ Central Michigan | 21–14 (35 U) | 45.4 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 50.4% |
-7.1 | +7.5 |
Central Michigan +7.5 ✓ WON edge 0.4 · 49.4% |
| 2:30 PM | Missouri @ Ole Miss | 3–31 (34 U) | 56.4 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 4.1 · 54.1% |
+9.2 | -6.5 |
Ole Miss -6.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.1% |
| 2:30 PM | Arizona State @ Texas Tech | 25–53 (78 O) | 49.8 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.3 · 50.4% |
+23.6 | -14.5 |
Texas Tech -14.5 ✓ WON edge 9.1 · 52.4% |
| 2:30 PM | Northern Illinois @ Wyoming | 23–41 (64 O) | 46.1 | 40.5 |
Over 40.5 ✓ WON edge 5.6 · 50.4% |
+13.1 | -6.5 |
Wyoming -6.5 ✓ WON edge 6.6 · 52.4% |
| 2:30 PM | Akron @ Miami (OH) | 14–34 (48 O) | 50.5 | 46.5 |
Over 46.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 50.4% |
+14.5 | -9.5 |
Miami (OH) -9.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 52.4% |
| 2:30 PM | Alabama @ Tennessee | 10–26 (36 U) | 54.0 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.5 · 48.4% |
-5.0 | +7.5 |
Tennessee +7.5 ✓ WON edge 2.5 · 49.5% |
| 2:30 PM | North Carolina @ Duke | 24–20 (44 U) | 47.9 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 48.3% |
+7.5 | -3.5 |
Duke -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.0 · 52.4% |
| 2:30 PM | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 34–14 (48 U) | 54.4 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.9 · 50.4% |
-10.9 | +4.5 |
Toledo -4.5 ✓ WON edge 6.4 · 50.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Penn State @ Michigan | 18–21 (39 U) | 44.7 | 42.5 |
Over 42.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.2 · 50.4% |
+2.3 | -5.5 |
Penn State +5.5 ✓ WON edge 3.2 · 50.6% |
| 2:30 PM | Auburn @ Georgia | 27–24 (51 O) | 49.5 | 49.5 |
Under 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.0 · 52.7% |
+18.6 | -19.5 |
Auburn +19.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 50.6% |
| 2:30 PM | UNLV @ Air Force | 31–41 (72 O) | 48.1 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 0.6 · 48.8% |
+1.8 | +1.5 |
Air Force +1.5 ✓ WON edge 3.3 · 52.3% |
| 2:30 PM | Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech | 24–34 (58 O) | 53.2 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.3 · 53.3% |
+6.0 | -9.5 |
Georgia Tech +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.5 · 50.6% |
| 3:30 PM | Tulsa @ Rice | 38–17 (55 O) | 50.8 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 3.3 · 50.4% |
-10.4 | +3.5 |
Tulsa -3.5 ✓ WON edge 6.9 · 50.6% |
| 4:00 PM | Troy @ Louisiana | 6–33 (39 U) | 52.4 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.9 · 50.4% |
+5.1 | -4.5 |
Louisiana -4.5 ✓ WON edge 0.6 · 49.4% |
| 5:00 PM | Washington State @ Oregon State | 30–48 (78 O) | 45.6 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 8.9 · 55.9% |
+11.6 | -17.5 |
Washington State +17.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.9 · 50.6% |
| 6:00 PM | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 23–13 (36 U) | 56.1 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✓ WON edge 4.4 · 54.1% |
-3.5 | +6.5 |
Southern Miss +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.0 · 51.1% |
| 6:00 PM | Arkansas @ Vanderbilt | 31–21 (52 O) | 53.7 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 4.1 · 50.4% |
+11.6 | -6.5 |
Vanderbilt -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.1 · 52.4% |
| 6:00 PM | TCU @ Baylor | 17–6 (23 U) | 48.0 | 49.5 |
Under 49.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 53.3% |
+5.9 | -5.5 |
Baylor -5.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 49.4% |
| 6:00 PM | Nevada @ North Dakota State | 17–31 (48 O) | 47.5 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 50.4% |
+13.7 | -14.5 |
Nevada +14.5 ✓ WON edge 0.8 · 50.6% |
| 6:00 PM | Kent State @ South Florida | 2–29 (31 U) | 50.2 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.7 · 50.4% |
+29.4 | -20.5 |
South Florida -20.5 ✓ WON edge 8.9 · 52.4% |
| 6:00 PM | Florida State @ Miami | 35–43 (78 O) | 57.0 | 55.5 |
Over 55.5 ✓ WON edge 1.5 · 50.4% |
+19.4 | -21.5 |
Florida State +21.5 ✓ WON edge 2.1 · 50.6% |
| 6:30 PM | Notre Dame @ BYU | 24–28 (52 O) | 52.5 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 50.4% |
-16.5 | +10.5 |
Notre Dame -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.0 · 50.6% |
| 6:30 PM | Wisconsin @ UCLA | 7–17 (24) | 49.9 | — | — | +7.0 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | Kentucky @ Oklahoma | 21–13 (34 U) | 45.3 | 44.5 |
Over 44.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 49.3% |
+8.9 | -6.5 |
Oklahoma -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 49.4% |
| 6:30 PM | Oklahoma State @ Houston | 32–35 (67 O) | 56.4 | 61.5 |
Under 61.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.1 · 54.1% |
+16.8 | -4.5 |
Houston -4.5 ✗ LOST edge 12.3 · 52.4% |
| 6:30 PM | Louisville @ Syracuse | 34–26 (60 O) | 54.9 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.6 · 53.3% |
-10.5 | +13.5 |
Syracuse +13.5 ✓ WON edge 3.0 · 51.3% |
| 7:00 PM | Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe | 24–0 (24 U) | 55.3 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 0.2 · 52.8% |
-7.7 | +14.5 |
UL Monroe +14.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.8 · 52.4% |
| 7:00 PM | Navy @ UTSA | 34–38 (72 O) | 51.7 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.8 · 54.1% |
+13.1 | -6.5 |
UTSA -6.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.6 · 52.4% |
| 8:00 PM | San José State @ UTEP | 24–11 (35) | 48.1 | — | — | -11.7 | — | — |
| 9:00 PM | Ohio @ Sacramento State | 48–7 (55 O) | 48.8 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 0.3 · 47.9% |
-13.7 | +14.5 |
Sacramento State +14.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.8 · 49.4% |
| 9:15 PM | Utah @ Colorado | 27–24 (51 O) | 50.1 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✓ WON edge 0.6 · 48.9% |
-24.4 | +16.5 |
Utah -16.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.9 · 50.6% |
| 9:30 PM | Fresno State @ San Diego State | 23–26 (49 O) | 44.2 | 45.5 |
Under 45.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 53.3% |
-6.5 | +8.5 |
San Diego State +8.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 49.4% |
| 9:30 PM | Wake Forest @ California | 41–7 (48 U) | 51.6 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 1.9 · 53.3% |
-13.4 | +9.5 |
Wake Forest -9.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 50.6% |
| 9:30 PM | New Mexico @ Hawai'i | 21–10 (31) | 48.1 | — | — | -11.5 | — | — |
| 10:00 PM | Nebraska @ Oregon | 14–17 (31) | 52.6 | — | — | +2.1 | — | — |
Model: model_2026-10-11_v1 generated 2026-10-12 12:00:26 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).