Model Predictions
Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.
Mon 9/7 (1)
Fri 9/11 (2)
Sat 9/12 (47)
Thu 9/17 (1)
Fri 9/18 (2)
Sat 9/19 (54)
Thu 9/24 (1)
Fri 9/25 (4)
Sat 9/26 (53)
Thu 10/1 (2)
Fri 10/2 (3)
Sat 10/3 (51)
Tue 10/6 (1)
Wed 10/7 (2)
Thu 10/8 (4)
Fri 10/9 (5)
Sat 10/10 (46)
Tue 10/13 (2)
Wed 10/14 (2)
Thu 10/15 (3)
Fri 10/16 (3)
Sat 10/17 (49)
Tue 10/20 (3)
Wed 10/21 (1)
Thu 10/22 (3)
Fri 10/23 (5)
Sat 10/24 (44)
| Kick (CT) | Matchup | Final | Pred Total | HR Total | Total Pick | Pred Margin | HR Spread | Spread Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 AM | Colorado @ Baylor | 13–23 (36 U) | 50.8 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 3.7 · 53.9% |
+12.9 | -10.5 |
Baylor -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 49.3% |
| 11:00 AM | San Diego State @ Toledo | 16–41 (57 O) | 50.2 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 1.7 · 51.4% |
+6.4 | -2.5 |
Toledo -2.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 52.3% |
| 11:00 AM | Colorado State @ UTSA | 45–59 (104 O) | 53.9 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.6 · 53.9% |
+7.8 | -13.5 |
Colorado State +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.7 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | Ball State @ Kent State | 13–26 (39 U) | 53.9 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.4 · 51.4% |
+4.6 | -3.5 |
Kent State -3.5 ✓ WON edge 1.1 · 49.3% |
| 11:00 AM | Sam Houston @ Texas Tech | 14–49 (63 O) | 55.4 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 46.5% |
+33.5 | -35.5 |
Sam Houston +35.5 ✓ WON edge 2.0 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | Virginia Tech @ Boston College | 21–14 (35 U) | 52.9 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 46.1% |
-8.2 | +14.5 |
Boston College +14.5 ✓ WON edge 6.3 · 52.3% |
| 11:00 AM | Illinois @ Ohio State | 19–42 (61 O) | 53.5 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✓ WON edge 0.0 · 46.1% |
+22.2 | -27.5 |
Illinois +27.5 ✓ WON edge 5.3 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | UNLV @ Akron | 38–10 (48 U) | 49.7 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.2 · 46.1% |
-11.1 | +13.5 |
Akron +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.4 · 49.3% |
| 11:00 AM | Wake Forest @ Louisville | 30–27 (57 U) | 52.7 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 5.8 · 53.9% |
+3.4 | -13.5 |
Wake Forest +13.5 ✓ WON edge 10.1 · 50.7% |
| 11:00 AM | Texas @ Tennessee | 20–17 (37 U) | 53.9 | 56.5 |
Under 56.5 ✓ WON edge 2.6 · 53.9% |
-2.9 | +3.5 |
Tennessee +3.5 ✓ WON edge 0.6 · 49.3% |
| 11:45 AM | South Alabama @ Kentucky | 21–45 (66 O) | 55.9 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 50.0% |
+7.7 | -21.5 |
South Alabama +21.5 ✗ LOST edge 13.8 · 50.7% |
| 12:30 PM | UCLA @ Maryland | 54–3 (57 U) | 56.4 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✓ WON edge 1.1 · 53.9% |
-1.6 | +2.5 |
Maryland +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.9 · 49.3% |
| 1:00 PM | Notre Dame @ Purdue | 49–10 (59 O) | 56.9 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.6 · 53.9% |
-28.4 | +27.5 |
Notre Dame -27.5 ✓ WON edge 0.9 · 50.7% |
| 1:00 PM | Northern Illinois @ Georgia State | 14–35 (49 U) | 53.7 | 55.5 |
Under 55.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 53.9% |
+7.4 | -9.5 |
Northern Illinois +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.1 · 50.7% |
| 2:00 PM | Hawai'i @ Wyoming | 10–27 (37) | 49.9 | — | — | -3.9 | — | — |
| 2:30 PM | Oklahoma @ Georgia | 13–41 (54 O) | 50.9 | 43.5 |
Over 43.5 ✓ WON edge 7.4 · 51.4% |
+14.8 | -13.5 |
Georgia -13.5 ✓ WON edge 1.3 · 49.3% |
| 2:30 PM | UConn @ Miami (OH) | 21–24 (45 U) | 54.5 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.0 · 51.4% |
-1.5 | -4.5 |
UConn +4.5 ✓ WON edge 6.0 · 50.7% |
| 2:30 PM | Utah @ Iowa State | 31–17 (48 U) | 50.5 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.0 · 47.0% |
-5.9 | +9.5 |
Iowa State +9.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.6 · 52.3% |
| 2:30 PM | New Mexico @ New Mexico State | 42–18 (60 O) | 52.5 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 51.4% |
-8.1 | +12.5 |
New Mexico State +12.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.4 · 52.3% |
| 2:30 PM | Ole Miss @ Florida | 28–52 (80 O) | 56.3 | 60.5 |
Under 60.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.2 · 53.9% |
+0.4 | -3.5 |
Ole Miss +3.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.1 · 50.7% |
| 2:30 PM | Boise State @ Western Michigan | 32–7 (39 U) | 53.5 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.0 · 51.4% |
-0.9 | +7.5 |
Western Michigan +7.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.6 · 52.3% |
| 2:30 PM | TCU @ UCF | 13–21 (34 U) | 50.0 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.5 · 46.1% |
-2.7 | +3.5 |
UCF +3.5 ✓ WON edge 0.8 · 49.3% |
| 2:30 PM | Iowa @ Michigan | 20–19 (39 O) | 48.4 | 37.5 |
Over 37.5 ✓ WON edge 10.9 · 54.7% |
-1.9 | -4.5 |
Iowa +4.5 ✓ WON edge 6.4 · 50.7% |
| 3:00 PM | Houston @ Georgia Southern | 42–28 (70 O) | 54.1 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 53.9% |
-9.1 | +18.5 |
Georgia Southern +18.5 ✓ WON edge 9.4 · 52.3% |
| 3:15 PM | Vanderbilt @ Auburn | 15–21 (36 U) | 53.3 | 54.5 |
Under 54.5 ✓ WON edge 1.2 · 53.9% |
+4.5 | -9.5 |
Vanderbilt +9.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 50.7% |
| 4:00 PM | Wisconsin @ Penn State | 24–20 (44 U) | 51.1 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.6 · 51.4% |
+17.0 | -10.5 |
Penn State -10.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.5 · 52.3% |
| 4:00 PM | South Florida @ Bowling Green | 14–6 (20 U) | 52.4 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.9 · 51.4% |
-14.6 | +18.5 |
Bowling Green +18.5 ✓ WON edge 3.9 · 52.3% |
| 4:00 PM | Nebraska @ Michigan State | 31–13 (44 U) | 53.4 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.9 · 51.4% |
-8.2 | +5.5 |
Nebraska -5.5 ✓ WON edge 2.7 · 50.7% |
| 5:00 PM | James Madison @ Old Dominion | 46–20 (66 O) | 49.7 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 2.2 · 51.4% |
-7.9 | +5.5 |
James Madison -5.5 ✓ WON edge 2.4 · 50.7% |
| 5:00 PM | Delaware @ Virginia | 3–42 (45 U) | 55.4 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.9 · 51.4% |
+18.3 | -20.5 |
Delaware +20.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.2 · 50.7% |
| 5:30 PM | Central Michigan @ Miami | 3–52 (55 O) | 52.1 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 53.9% |
+32.2 | -41.5 |
Central Michigan +41.5 ✗ LOST edge 9.3 · 50.7% |
| 5:30 PM | Louisiana @ Charlotte | 34–7 (41 U) | 53.4 | 49.5 |
Over 49.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.9 · 51.4% |
-8.5 | +10.5 |
Charlotte +10.5 ✗ LOST edge 2.0 · 49.3% |
| 6:00 PM | Southern Miss @ Tulane | 21–24 (45 U) | 52.1 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 53.9% |
+13.7 | -19.5 |
Southern Miss +19.5 ✓ WON edge 5.8 · 50.7% |
| 6:00 PM | Oklahoma State @ West Virginia | 41–24 (65 O) | 52.4 | 59.5 |
Under 59.5 ✗ LOST edge 7.1 · 53.9% |
+11.8 | -2.5 |
West Virginia -2.5 ✗ LOST edge 9.3 · 52.3% |
| 6:00 PM | Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State | 14–17 (31 U) | 53.9 | 53.5 |
Over 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.4 · 46.1% |
+10.3 | -4.5 |
Arkansas State -4.5 ✗ LOST edge 5.8 · 52.3% |
| 6:00 PM | Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State | 13–23 (36 U) | 52.8 | 51.5 |
Over 51.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.3 · 49.2% |
+2.0 | -8.5 |
Middle Tennessee +8.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.5 · 50.7% |
| 6:00 PM | Kansas State @ Cincinnati | 26–31 (57 O) | 53.2 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.3 · 53.9% |
-1.6 | +6.5 |
Cincinnati +6.5 ✓ WON edge 4.9 · 52.3% |
| 6:00 PM | South Carolina @ Alabama | 18–49 (67 O) | 54.6 | 54.5 |
Over 54.5 ✓ WON edge 0.1 · 46.1% |
+10.7 | -12.5 |
South Carolina +12.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.8 · 50.7% |
| 6:30 PM | Troy @ Utah State | 10–21 (31 U) | 49.9 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.4 · 50.1% |
-1.0 | -2.5 |
Troy +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.5 · 50.7% |
| 6:30 PM | Texas A&M @ LSU | 6–35 (41 U) | 49.9 | 52.5 |
Under 52.5 ✓ WON edge 2.6 · 53.9% |
-1.9 | -10.5 |
Texas A&M +10.5 ✗ LOST edge 12.4 · 50.7% |
| 6:30 PM | App State @ NC State | 31–41 (72) | 52.4 | — | — | +7.4 | — | — |
| 6:30 PM | Oregon @ USC | 41–27 (68 O) | 58.9 | 62.5 |
Under 62.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.6 · 53.9% |
+13.2 | +2.5 |
USC +2.5 ✗ LOST edge 15.8 · 52.3% |
| 6:30 PM | Arizona @ Washington State | 34–24 (58 O) | 48.9 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 1.4 · 49.6% |
-1.5 | +10.5 |
Washington State +10.5 ✓ WON edge 9.0 · 52.3% |
| 6:45 PM | Missouri @ Mississippi State | 24–31 (55 U) | 53.5 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 5.0 · 53.9% |
+8.5 | -5.5 |
Mississippi State -5.5 ✓ WON edge 3.0 · 51.2% |
| 7:00 PM | Florida Atlantic @ UL Monroe | 45–17 (62 O) | 54.5 | 57.5 |
Under 57.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.0 · 53.9% |
-3.3 | +13.5 |
UL Monroe +13.5 ✗ LOST edge 10.2 · 52.3% |
| 7:00 PM | Tulsa @ Arkansas | 6–34 (40 U) | 52.6 | 52.5 |
Over 52.5 ✗ LOST edge 0.1 · 46.1% |
+0.5 | -6.5 |
Tulsa +6.5 ✗ LOST edge 6.0 · 50.7% |
| 8:00 PM | Oregon State @ UTEP | 33–7 (40 U) | 51.7 | 53.5 |
Under 53.5 ✓ WON edge 1.8 · 53.9% |
-8.0 | +12.5 |
UTEP +12.5 ✗ LOST edge 4.5 · 52.3% |
| 8:00 PM | Massachusetts @ Sacramento State | 35–6 (41) | 53.2 | — | — | +2.9 | — | — |
| 8:00 PM | Missouri State @ SMU | 24–34 (58 U) | 56.4 | 58.5 |
Under 58.5 ✓ WON edge 2.1 · 53.9% |
+25.7 | -35.5 |
Missouri State +35.5 ✓ WON edge 9.8 · 50.7% |
| 9:00 PM | Rice @ Fresno State | 24–38 (62 O) | 52.7 | 44.5 |
Over 44.5 ✓ WON edge 8.1 · 51.5% |
+18.2 | -14.5 |
Fresno State -14.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.7 · 52.3% |
| 9:30 PM | Air Force @ Nevada | 36–33 (69 O) | 54.5 | 48.5 |
Over 48.5 ✓ WON edge 6.0 · 51.4% |
+6.6 | +4.5 |
Nevada +4.5 ✓ WON edge 11.1 · 52.3% |
| 9:30 PM | Georgia Tech @ Stanford | 27–34 (61 O) | 53.3 | 47.5 |
Over 47.5 ✓ WON edge 5.8 · 51.4% |
-4.7 | +3.5 |
Georgia Tech -3.5 ✗ LOST edge 1.2 · 50.7% |
| 10:00 PM | Minnesota @ Washington | 27–24 (51 O) | 49.5 | 45.5 |
Over 45.5 ✓ WON edge 4.0 · 51.4% |
+13.3 | -9.5 |
Washington -9.5 ✗ LOST edge 3.8 · 52.3% |
Model: model_2026-09-20_v1 generated 2026-09-21 12:00:30 UTC. Final format: away–home (total, O/U vs the line at prediction time).