Model Predictions

Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.

Fri 9/4 (5) Sat 9/5 (30) Sun 9/6 (3) Mon 9/7 (1) Fri 9/11 (2) Sat 9/12 (27)
Kick (CT)Matchup Pred TotalHR Total Total Pick Pred MarginHR Spread Spread Pick
11:00 AM North Texas @ Indiana 53.9 55.5 Under 55.5
edge 1.6 · 54.0%
+20.3 -39.5 North Texas +39.5
edge 19.2 · 66.7%
11:00 AM Liberty @ James Madison 51.8 50.5 Over 50.5
edge 1.3 · 50.3%
+8.8 -6.5 James Madison -6.5
edge 2.3 · 51.6%
11:00 AM Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia 50.6 54.5 Under 54.5
edge 3.9 · 54.8%
+7.7 -21.5 Coastal Carolina +21.5
edge 13.8 · 50.9%
11:00 AM Oregon State @ Houston 50.0 50.5 Under 50.5
edge 0.5 · 52.2%
+13.5 -21.5 Oregon State +21.5
edge 8.0 · 50.9%
11:00 AM East Carolina @ Alabama 49.4 52.5 Under 52.5
edge 3.1 · 54.8%
+12.8 -28.5 East Carolina +28.5
edge 15.7 · 50.9%
11:00 AM Ohio @ Nebraska 49.7 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 3.2 · 51.5%
+10.9 -24.5 Ohio +24.5
edge 13.6 · 50.9%
11:30 AM Ball State @ Ohio State 51.4 56.5 Under 56.5
edge 5.1 · 54.8%
+35.7 -50.5 Ball State +50.5
edge 14.8 · 50.9%
11:30 AM Miami (OH) @ Pittsburgh 49.3 47.5 Over 47.5
edge 1.8 · 51.5%
+12.2 -16.5 Miami (OH) +16.5
edge 4.3 · 50.9%
11:45 AM Kent State @ South Carolina 51.6 53.5 Under 53.5
edge 1.9 · 54.8%
+28.4 -36.5 Kent State +36.5
edge 8.1 · 50.9%
2:30 PM Marshall @ Penn State 54.2 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 2.7 · 51.5%
+19.6 -22.5 Marshall +22.5
edge 2.9 · 50.9%
2:30 PM Boston College @ Cincinnati 52.9 49.5 Over 49.5
edge 3.4 · 51.5%
+8.9 -7.5 Cincinnati -7.5
edge 1.4 · 49.1%
2:30 PM Texas State @ Texas 54.4 59.5 Under 59.5
edge 5.1 · 54.8%
+12.9 -29.5 Texas State +29.5
edge 16.6 · 53.1%
2:30 PM Baylor @ Auburn 50.1 59.5 Under 59.5
edge 9.5 · 56.0%
+9.1 -7.5 Auburn -7.5
edge 1.6 · 49.1%
2:30 PM Boise State @ Oregon 50.7 51.5 Under 51.5
edge 0.8 · 52.2%
+20.2 -24.5 Boise State +24.5
edge 4.3 · 50.9%
2:30 PM Tulane @ Duke 53.0 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 1.5 · 51.2%
+5.3 -7.5 Tulane +7.5
edge 2.2 · 50.9%
2:45 PM Oklahoma State @ Tulsa 52.6 58.5 Under 58.5
edge 5.9 · 54.8%
+11.4 +13.5 Tulsa +13.5
edge 24.9 · 52.3%
3:15 PM Northern Illinois @ Iowa 50.5 44.5 Over 44.5
edge 6.0 · 51.5%
+25.3 -31.5 Northern Illinois +31.5
edge 6.2 · 50.9%
5:00 PM Wyoming @ Colorado State 49.7 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 3.2 · 51.5%
+6.5 -3.5 Colorado State -3.5
edge 3.0 · 52.3%
6:00 PM Sam Houston @ Troy 51.3 53.5 Under 53.5
edge 2.2 · 54.8%
+15.8 -16.5 Sam Houston +16.5
edge 0.7 · 50.9%
6:00 PM Arkansas State @ Memphis 54.1 53.5 Over 53.5
edge 0.6 · 47.8%
+13.0 -11.5 Memphis -11.5
edge 1.5 · 49.1%
6:00 PM Missouri State @ Texas A&M 51.8 53.5 Under 53.5
edge 1.7 · 54.3%
+27.5 -40.5 Missouri State +40.5
edge 13.0 · 50.9%
6:00 PM Florida International @ South Florida 54.7 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 3.2 · 51.5%
+14.9 -14.5 South Florida -14.5
edge 0.4 · 49.1%
6:30 PM Western Michigan @ Michigan 48.1 49.5 Under 49.5
edge 1.5 · 53.6%
+11.9 -27.5 Western Michigan +27.5
edge 15.6 · 50.9%
6:30 PM Clemson @ LSU 47.6 50.5 Under 50.5
edge 2.9 · 54.8%
-1.0 -9.5 Clemson +9.5
edge 10.5 · 50.9%
6:30 PM UL Monroe @ Mississippi State 53.0 54.5 Under 54.5
edge 1.5 · 53.6%
+26.1 -28.5 UL Monroe +28.5
edge 2.4 · 50.9%
6:45 PM Florida Atlantic @ Florida 52.5 58.5 Under 58.5
edge 6.0 · 54.8%
+15.8 -26.5 Florida Atlantic +26.5
edge 10.8 · 50.9%
9:00 PM UNLV @ Hawai'i 54.4 -1.3
9:00 PM Central Michigan @ New Mexico 51.0 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 4.5 · 51.5%
+11.8 -10.5 New Mexico -10.5
edge 1.3 · 49.1%
9:30 PM Western Kentucky @ Nevada 50.1 52.5 Under 52.5
edge 2.4 · 54.8%
-4.3 -0.5 Western Kentucky +0.5
edge 4.8 · 50.9%
9:30 PM UCLA @ California 51.0 53.5 Under 53.5
edge 2.5 · 54.8%
+5.3 +2.5 California +2.5
edge 7.8 · 52.3%

Model: model_2026-09-04_v1 generated 2026-09-04 22:26:27 UTC.