Model Predictions

Model vs Hard Rock Bet lines. Total Pick and Spread Pick name the side the model leans toward at the current line — e.g. "Stanford +24.5" — with the edge in points and the calibrated probability of that pick underneath. Picks with 2+ points of edge are highlighted. Pick a date below; past dates show final scores. Click a column header to sort.

Fri 9/4 (5) Sat 9/5 (30) Sun 9/6 (3) Mon 9/7 (1) Fri 9/11 (2) Sat 9/12 (27)
Kick (CT)Matchup Pred TotalHR Total Total Pick Pred MarginHR Spread Spread Pick
5:30 PM San José State @ Eastern Michigan 56.5 40.5 Over 40.5
edge 16.0 · 48.5%
+10.5 +2.5 Eastern Michigan +2.5
edge 13.0 · 52.3%
7:00 PM UTEP @ Oklahoma 49.6 50.5 Under 50.5
edge 1.0 · 52.2%
+26.8 -44.5 UTEP +44.5
edge 17.7 · 50.9%
7:00 PM Toledo @ Michigan State 49.0 47.5 Over 47.5
edge 1.5 · 47.8%
+0.3 -10.5 Toledo +10.5
edge 10.2 · 50.9%
8:00 PM Fresno State @ USC 52.1 51.5 Over 51.5
edge 0.6 · 47.8%
+19.1 -21.5 Fresno State +21.5
edge 2.4 · 50.9%
8:00 PM Miami @ Stanford 51.0 46.5 Over 46.5
edge 4.5 · 51.5%
-8.4 +24.5 Stanford +24.5
edge 16.1 · 52.3%

Model: model_2026-09-04_v1 generated 2026-09-04 22:26:27 UTC.